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08/27/2012 05:49 PM

NY republicans in Florida

By: Josh Robin

New York Republicans find themselves in a rare place this week: Among people who share their politics. But for them, getting out the vote for Mitt Romney is more than just about winning the White House. YNN's Josh Robin explains.

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CLEARWATER BEACH, Fla. -- Only the most optimistic New York Republican thinks Mitt Romney has even a fighting chance to win the Empire State. But it's a matter of political survival for those under him on the ballot that he at least does well enough. One reason why a Monday breakfast for those who trekked south was part reunion, part political rally.

"It's very unlikely he takes the state. If he takes the state, he's going to swing the whole country. But I think Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan can have a real impact," said Representative Peter King.

Impact to persuade people to pick Republicans in November, from the top of the ticket down, which is often how people do it.

By one count, there are 30 to 40 very competitive congressionally races across the country that could go to republicans or democrats. As many as eight of them are in New York. None of those eight were at Monday's breakfast, a sign, perhaps, they're better off spotted back home than on TV at a partisan event in Florida.

Representative Bob Turner said, "There's not as much to do here as there is in the district. So they're doing the right thing."

Then there's the State Senate, which leader Dean Skelos needs to keep in GOP hands if he wants to remain in control.

Skelos said, "I think that Mitt Romney is going to carry most of our Senate district."

But longtime political analyst Larry Levy says that depends. He says some independents are put off by the party's stance on social issues, and calls for big budget cuts.

"What they want is someone who will lead, someone who will show some empathy to the problems of taking care of their parents, someone who will show some sensitivity to taking care of their kids and right now, they don't trust Mitt Romney, at least according to some of the polls that we've done," Levy said.

But Republicans might add, there's still plenty of time if Romney is able to get a better message and get people to pay attention to it and not the weather.